This article originally appeared inÌęÌęon April 15, 2025.
When the United States and Soviet Union emerged from the Second World War as the worldâs dominant states, the field of international relations required a new designation to capture their status: superpowers. Whereas the 19th and early 20th centuries had been shaped by great powers, the two countries destined to shape the post-1945 global order were heads and shoulders above the rest. These superpowers took the task of creating and consolidating their global influence to new heights.
But the U.S. also aspired to be, and was often perceived to be, a special kind of superpower â a category of one. The late Stanley Hoffmann, an influential scholar of American foreign policy, observed that while every country sees itself as unique, the postwar United StatesÌę, given the success of its brand of representative democracy and the universal appeal of its values.
Beyond its aggregate economic and military capability, the non-material assets of the U.S. enabled it to exercise what Joseph Nye Jr. famously coined as soft power: while it could (and sometimes did) use its material might coercively to achieve its goals, the real source of U.S. influence was its capacity to attract and persuade.
In our current moment, itâs worth recalling the logic that underpinned soft power â namely, that the U.S.âs role in the world was so much more than the actions and decisions of the U.S. government. It also encompassed the work of its think tanks, leading universities and scientists, media outlets, cultural organizations, high-profile NGOs, and, of course, innovative businesses. It was the force and impact of this larger America that enabled its superpower status to hold, even in the face of controversial and darker turns in U.S. foreign policy, whether it was the quagmire in Vietnam, the support of dictators over democrats in Latin America, or the excesses of the Global War on Terror.
Among the countless pillars of American soft power are two that I have worked with over the past two years: the Smithsonian Institution, and particularly its National Museum of Asian Art, which helps lead a global effort to assist museums in conflict zones all around the world to protect cultural heritage from destruction; and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars â or Wilson Center â chartered by U.S. Congress to provide non-partisan advice and insights on global affairs to policy makers.
In recent weeks, the Wilson Center, along with the United States Institute of Peace, have been the latest targets of efforts by Elon Muskâs DOGE to dismantle not only some of the key components of American soft power, but also the very capacity of the U.S. to know and understand the world. At the opening of the Wilson Center in 1968, senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan (a former U.S. ambassador to India and the United Nations) claimed that âhow we think about the world helps shape how we act in the world.â During the postwar decades of American global primacy, the United States was home to some of the top analysts of global politics, from both inside and outside the U.S.
This second Trump administration, by contrast, is inherently suspicious â not just of the research and knowledge that helped to sustain Americaâs superpower status, but also of the broader agenda of global engagement. A recent executive order calls for a review of all international treaties and organizations of the which the U.S. is a member, consistent with the view that past efforts in international co-operation have been aimed at either ârobbingâ the U.S. or embroiling it in the problems of âweakerâ countries.
Amidst all the anger and bewilderment at the decisions of the Trump administration in its first months in office, there is also, as journalist Rana ForooharÌę, âa certain form of mourningâ about what is being lost. It is not only the foundations of U.S. democracy, but also the less visible sources of global influence.
What is left is the U.S. as great power, in that 19th-century sense, where the term âgreatâ reflects a mathematical calculation of raw capability and territorial ambition. What recent weeks demonstrate is that this U.S. administration intends to wield that capability primarily through pressure and coercion, with implications for friends (like Canada) and foes alike.
We do well to remember, however, that the victory of the U.S. in the Cold War was fuelled not just by its mastery of the material game. With China proving to have a decent set of material cards to play (to borrow Donald Trumpâs analogy), and a U.S. that is no longer the exceptional superpower, todayâs confrontation between the worldâs two great powers may play out differently.
Jennifer M. Welsh is the Canada 150 Research Chair in Global Governance and Security at șĂÉ«TV and the Director of the Max Bell School of Public Policy. She was previously Professor and Chair in International Relations at the European University Institute (Florence, Italy) and Professor in International Relations at the University of Oxford, where she co-founded the Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law and Armed Conflict. From 2013-2016, she served as the Special Adviser to the UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon, on the Responsibility to Protect.
Professor Welsh is the author, co-author, and editor of several books and articles on humanitarian intervention, the evolution of the notion of the âresponsibility to protectâ in international society, the UN Security Council, and Canadian foreign policy. Her most recent books includeÌęThe Individualization of WarÌę(2024),ÌęThe Return of History: Conflict, Migration and Geopolitics in the 21st centuryÌę(2016), which was based on her CBC Massey Lectures, andÌęThe Responsibility to Prevent: Overcoming the Challenges of Atrocity PreventionÌę(2015). She was a former recipient of a Leverhulme Trust Research Fellowship and a Trudeau Fellowship, and from 2014-2019 has directed a five-year European Research Council-funded project called âThe Individualisation of War: Reconfiguring the Ethics, Law and Politics of Armed Conflictâ. She is also a frequent media commentator on international affairs and Canadian foreign policy.
Professor Welsh sits on the editorial boards of the journalsÌęGlobal Responsibility to Protect, International Journal,ÌęandÌęEthics and International Affairs, and on the Advisory Boards of the Peace Research Institute in Frankfurt, The Global Centre for the Responsibility to Protect, and the Auschwitz Institute for Peace and Reconciliation. She has a BA from the University of Saskatchewan (Canada), and a Masters and Doctorate from the University of Oxford (where she studied as a Rhodes Scholar).